Happy Valley · 2024-10-30 · 12:45
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-30 was Class 5 over 1000m. PARENTS' LOVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with DAN ATTACK second and ACE TALENT third. The 3.4 favourite SPEEDY FORTUNE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT 0.57.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | DAN ATTACK B1/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 7 | 8.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ACE TALENT H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CIRCUIT TEN H/P/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | PLENTIFUL H-/CP/XB/TT1 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | SPEEDY FORTUNE TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 1 | 3.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | E GLORY B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 9.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | DIAMOND SOARS TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | HERO WARRIOR H-/PC-/B1/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 9 | 154.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | OMAKASE H1/P1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 19.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 19.8% | 5.04 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | PARENTS' LOVE | 19.8% | 5.05 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | PLENTIFUL | 10.8% | 9.27 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | DAN ATTACK | 9.8% | 10.19 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | E GLORY | 7.9% | 12.60 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | OMAKASE | 7.7% | 13.01 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | ACE TALENT | 6.7% | 14.92 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP | 5.1% | 19.60 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW | 4.6% | 21.71 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | DIAMOND SOARS | 3.8% | 26.47 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | CIRCUIT TEN | 3.0% | 33.12 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | HERO WARRIOR | 0.9% | 105.66 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 44
PLACE
2 18.5
4 25
6 40.5
QUINELLA
2,4 204
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 73
2,6 89
4,6 204
FORECAST
2,4 379
TIERCE
2,4,6 2,953
TRIO
2,4,6 887
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 2,249
QUARTET
2,4,6,5 31,022
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,8/2,4,6 49,208
3RD DOUBLE
8/2 328
8/4 68.5