Happy Valley · 2024-10-30 · 19:11
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | D STAR Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 4.3 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 5.7 | N |
| 4 | 1 | MIGHTY STEED Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 2.6 | N |
| 5 | 2 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | FLYING SILVER TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 2 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS Closed strongly TT1 C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 8 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | CONFRINGO CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 36.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | GREENWICH Led early TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 7.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER HONG KONG B B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 3 | 70.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | DRALA L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 4 | 131.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 5 | ENSHINE H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-30 was Class 4 over 1650m. D STAR, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with CAN'T GO WONG second and DRAGON DELIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite MIGHTY STEED finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MIGHTY STEED | 33.9% | 2.95 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | CAN'T GO WONG | 22.6% | 4.43 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 9.8% | 10.15 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 8.9% | 11.26 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | D STAR | 6.1% | 16.31 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 5.4% | 18.64 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | FLYING SILVER | 5.2% | 19.39 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | GREENWICH | 3.7% | 27.24 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | CONFRINGO | 1.9% | 53.26 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER HONG KONG | 1.9% | 53.85 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | DRALA | 0.7% | 141.18 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 136
PLACE
7 15
9 32
11 17.5
QUINELLA
7,9 232
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 67.5
7,11 33.5
9,11 114
FORECAST
9,7 470
TIERCE
9,7,11 2,288
TRIO
7,9,11 297
FIRST 4
1,7,9,11 134
QUARTET
9,7,11,1 5,489