跑馬地 · 2024-10-30 · 14:55
第 8場
2024-10-30跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米。由H Bowman策騎、C Fownes訓練的SUGAR SUGAR勝出，贏出HD。SWIFT ASCEND獲得亞軍；DIVANO獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門SWIFT ASCEND跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT 1.09.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 5.3 | HD |
| 2 | 9 | SWIFT ASCEND B/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 2 | 3.3 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | DIVANO TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GUSTOSISIMO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY INFINITY B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP-/TT E C W Wong · W K Mo | E C W Wong | W K Mo | 5 | 38.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | BITS SUPERSTAR CP-/PC1 L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 9 | 56.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SCOTCH TYCOON B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 9.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | MAGNIAC B-/CP1/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 11 | 110.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SERGEANT PEPPER M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 95.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | HARMONY FIRE CP/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 80.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DIVANO | 48.2% | 2.07 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | SWIFT ASCEND | 12.9% | 7.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 10.5% | 9.53 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR | 8.0% | 12.47 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 4.9% | 20.61 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | GUSTOSISIMO | 4.4% | 22.50 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 3.4% | 29.85 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | HARMONY FIRE | 2.3% | 43.71 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 1.9% | 53.29 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 1.7% | 60.16 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | MAGNIAC | 1.2% | 83.06 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 0.7% | 137.99 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 53
PLACE
2 18.5
3 15.5
9 14.5
QUINELLA
2,9 88
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 42
2,9 36
3,9 29
FORECAST
2,9 230
TIERCE
2,9,3 879
TRIO
2,3,9 124
FIRST 4
2,3,4,9 154
QUARTET
2,9,3,4 4,650
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
5/9/2 5,212
5/9/9 532
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,11/2,3,9 2,894
7TH DOUBLE
9/2 989
9/9 142
SIX UP
3,8/2,4/2,3/5,6/9,10/2,9 26,657
8/2/2/5/9/2 2,622,751
1 [Z Purton] —
4 [C Fownes] —