跑馬地 · 2024-11-13 · 13:15
第 6場
2024-11-13跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的CIRCUIT DUFFY勝出，贏出SH。TOP TIME獲得亞軍；YOUNG HORIZON獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CIRCUIT DUFFY 1.10.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 2.4 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | TOP TIME K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 49.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | YOUNG HORIZON CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 6.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | TEAM HAPPY B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 5.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | KOKUSHI MUSOU B/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 4 | 37.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ACE POWER B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | LAKESHORE HERO B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | THE PERFECT MATCH B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 6.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | COSMIC SPURS PC1/TT1 B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 12 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 77.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPREME WINNER Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 6 | 114.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 24.9% | 4.02 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | TEAM HAPPY | 15.7% | 6.37 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | YOUNG HORIZON | 14.0% | 7.16 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 12.3% | 8.13 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | LAKESHORE HERO | 8.8% | 11.36 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 8.4% | 11.97 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 8.0% | 12.56 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | TOP TIME | 1.9% | 51.91 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | COSMIC SPURS | 1.8% | 54.81 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 1.8% | 57.12 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | ACE POWER | 1.5% | 64.81 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPREME WINNER | 1.0% | 102.32 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 24.5
PLACE
7 12
10 101
11 27
QUINELLA
7,10 765.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 303
7,11 47
10,11 568
FORECAST
7,10 957
TIERCE
7,10,11 5,181
TRIO
7,10,11 2,097
FIRST 4
3,7,10,11 1,995
QUARTET
7,10,11,3 36,785
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
7/7 206
7/10 421