跑馬地 · 2024-11-20 · 14:30
第 8場
2024-11-20跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1200米。由B Avdulla策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEAUTY CHARGE勝出，贏出N。WONDER KIT獲得亞軍；RAGING BLIZZARD獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門RAGING BLIZZARD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARGE TT 1.09.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 26.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | WONDER KIT B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 20.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | RAGING BLIZZARD P Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SING DRAGON H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 3 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | GORGEOUS WIN TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 8 | 9.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SON PAK FU B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | I GIVE M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 6 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | GLORY ELITE H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 9.3 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 11 | 45.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | JAMES TAK CP/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 64.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.9 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 28.4% | 3.53 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 15.3% | 6.53 | 12 |
| 3 | 6 | GORGEOUS WIN | 10.0% | 10.03 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | GLORY ELITE | 9.7% | 10.28 | 8 |
| 5 | 11 | SING DRAGON | 7.7% | 12.90 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | I GIVE | 6.9% | 14.44 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | WONDER KIT | 4.4% | 22.84 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.2% | 23.88 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | JAMES TAK | 4.2% | 23.94 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 3.7% | 27.14 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | SON PAK FU | 3.1% | 31.99 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 2.4% | 41.51 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 265
PLACE
5 72.5
7 11.5
10 45
QUINELLA
5,10 3,164.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 106.5
5,10 617.5
7,10 67
FORECAST
5,10 5,255
TIERCE
5,10,7 24,244
TRIO
5,7,10 1,378
FIRST 4
5,7,10,11 1,515
QUARTET
5,10,7,11 86,835
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
4/5 3,028
4/10 716.5