跑馬地 · 2024-11-27 · 14:55
第 9場
2024-11-27跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1800米。由H Bowman策騎、C Fownes訓練的ROCKET SPADE勝出，贏出NOSE。SAMARKAND獲得亞軍；TOY SOLTERO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門ILLUMINOUS跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ROCKET SPADE 後段發力 XB/TT 1.49.38 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 6.5 | NOSE |
| 2 | 3 | SAMARKAND 後段發力 CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.7 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | TOY SOLTERO SR/XB B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 8 | 40.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 9.8 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR 早段領放 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | COMET SPLENDIDO 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 5 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | WINNING STEPS 後段發力 H/PC M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 7 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | HAMERON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | CALIFORNIA VOCE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 38.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD 後段發力 CP/H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 12 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | ILLUMINOUS V J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 1 | 3.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | ACE WAR CP1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 130.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 17.9% | 5.57 | 10 |
| 2 | 7 | ROCKET SPADE | 14.1% | 7.11 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | ILLUMINOUS | 13.9% | 7.19 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 12.4% | 8.05 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 10.9% | 9.17 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNING STEPS | 9.0% | 11.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | SAMARKAND | 7.7% | 13.05 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR | 5.3% | 18.90 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | HAMERON | 4.4% | 22.86 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 2.0% | 50.43 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | TOY SOLTERO | 1.8% | 55.38 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | ACE WAR | 0.6% | 154.91 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 65.5
PLACE
3 32
7 20.5
12 84
QUINELLA
3,7 442
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 123
3,12 626.5
7,12 491.5
FORECAST
7,3 712
TIERCE
7,3,12 22,162
TRIO
3,7,12 6,135
FIRST 4
3,7,9,12 9,582
QUARTET
7,3,12,9 191,843
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/11/3 701
1/11/7 2,313
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,11/3,7,12 3,399,528
8TH DOUBLE
11/3 144.5
11/7 369.5
SIX UP
6/5/1/1/11/7 366,402
6,9/2,5/1,3/1,9/7,11/3,7 6,194
2 [Z Purton] —
8 [P C Ng] —