沙田 · 2024-12-08 · 06:55
第 5場
2024-12-08沙田第5場，Group 1，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的KA YING RISING勝出，贏出1/2。HELIOS EXPRESS獲得亞軍；SATONO REVE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING 1.08.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 1.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | SATONO REVE J Moreira · N Hori | J Moreira | N Hori | 4 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 6 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | BEAUTY WAVES E/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 14 | 89.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | FLYING ACE B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 183.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY WITH YOU A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 7 | 142.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | TOSHIN MACAU A Sugawara · M Takayanagi | A Sugawara | M Takayanagi | 5 | 76.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 12 | 135.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | LUGAL A Nishimura · H Sugiyama | A Nishimura | H Sugiyama | 9 | 32.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | RECOMMENDATION B M Zahra · C Maher | M Zahra | C Maher | 8 | 148.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | STARLUST R Ryan · R M Beckett | R Ryan | R M Beckett | 10 | 106.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | VICTOR THE WINNER CP/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 13 | 104.0 | 18-1/4 |
| — | 0 | NOBALS E Baird · L Rivelli | E Baird | L Rivelli | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING | 58.8% | 1.70 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | SATONO REVE | 8.8% | 11.38 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 5.0% | 20.01 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 4.3% | 23.31 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 3.6% | 27.46 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | STARLUST | 3.2% | 31.00 | 13 |
| 7 | 14 | BEAUTY WAVES | 3.0% | 33.74 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | TOSHIN MACAU | 2.7% | 37.71 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | LUGAL | 2.6% | 37.98 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | RECOMMENDATION | 2.2% | 45.02 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 2.2% | 45.89 | 14 |
| 12 | 5 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 2.1% | 48.25 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 1.5% | 66.06 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 11
PLACE
1 10.1
9 23.5
12 18
QUINELLA
1,12 36.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 27
1,12 18
9,12 72
FORECAST
1,12 45
TIERCE
1,12,9 198
TRIO
1,9,12 79
FIRST 4
1,2,9,12 147
QUARTET
1,12,9,2 986
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/2/1 953
4/2/12 1,552
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 172.5
2/12 354.5