沙田 · 2024-12-08 · 05:40
第 3場
2024-12-08沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1200米。由J McDonald策騎、K W Lui訓練的DIVANO勝出，贏出1-3/4。KING PROFIT獲得亞軍；YOUNG SUPERSTAR獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門LIFELINE EXPRESS跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DIVANO TT 1.08.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · K W Lui | J McDonald | K W Lui | 7 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | KING PROFIT TT A Pouchin · C S Shum | A Pouchin | C S Shum | 10 | 185.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 45.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | PATCH OF COSMO B L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 3 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | SWAGGER BRO M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 134.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 3.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | VICTORY SKY XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT P N Wong · T P Yung | P N Wong | T P Yung | 4 | 54.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | SAVVY BRILLIANT XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 3.2 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | HALO OF SUCCESS H1/XB1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 11 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | C YEAH CP1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 174.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | WONDERSTAR B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 65.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 43.5% | 2.30 | 11 |
| 2 | 13 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 12.0% | 8.33 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | DIVANO | 11.4% | 8.74 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | PATCH OF COSMO | 7.9% | 12.67 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 6.1% | 16.38 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 2.8% | 35.50 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | VICTORY SKY | 2.7% | 36.89 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | NOT USUAL STAR | 2.5% | 39.39 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | WONDERSTAR | 2.2% | 45.10 | 14 |
| 10 | 6 | HALO OF SUCCESS | 2.0% | 49.41 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | SWAGGER BRO | 1.9% | 53.00 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 1.9% | 53.79 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | C YEAH | 1.6% | 62.75 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | KING PROFIT | 1.4% | 73.00 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 59.5
PLACE
3 57.5
4 20
14 315.5
QUINELLA
4,14 4,533
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 225.5
3,14 3,727.5
4,14 1,204
FORECAST
4,14 5,484
TIERCE
4,14,3 104,422
TRIO
3,4,14 21,507
FIRST 4
3,4,12,14 97,172
QUARTET
4,14,3,12 1,415,478
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
7/4 488
7/14 2,449.5