沙田 · 2025-01-12 · 07:40
第 6場
2025-01-12沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米。由K De Melo策騎、W Y So訓練的MASK RIDER勝出，贏出1-1/4。MOJAVE DESERT獲得亞軍；MUST GO獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門MUST GO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MASK RIDER TT1 1.08.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 1 | 28.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | MOJAVE DESERT XB M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 5 | 7.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | MUST GO E/PC/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | OFFROAD MASTER B M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 4 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SWAGGER BRO M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | BUNTA BABY CP/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 3 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | GIANT LEAP B A Pouchin · P F Yiu | A Pouchin | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCK IS BACK L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 36.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | AEROINVINCIBLE P1/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 7.7 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 2 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | STORMI TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 30.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MUST GO | 17.8% | 5.62 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | OFFROAD MASTER | 17.2% | 5.83 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | MOJAVE DESERT | 17.1% | 5.83 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 9.2% | 10.91 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | MONTA FRUTTA | 9.0% | 11.07 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 8.7% | 11.47 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | GIANT LEAP | 5.4% | 18.59 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCK IS BACK | 4.0% | 24.96 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | SWAGGER BRO | 3.5% | 28.31 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | MASK RIDER | 3.4% | 29.74 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | BUNTA BABY | 2.4% | 41.73 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | STORMI | 2.3% | 43.03 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 283.5
PLACE
4 75
5 14.5
9 20.5
QUINELLA
4,9 1,123
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 146.5
4,9 300.5
5,9 38
FORECAST
4,9 2,419
TIERCE
4,9,5 9,753
TRIO
4,5,9 906
FIRST 4
4,5,9,12 480
QUARTET
4,9,5,12 19,197
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,12/4,5,9 7,761
5TH DOUBLE
5/4 1,153.5
5/9 45
TRIPLE TRIO
1,8,10/2,5,12/4,5,9 268,048
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,10/2,5,12/Any Combination 294