沙田 · 2025-01-12 · 05:35
第 2場
2025-01-12沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米。由K C Leung策騎、K L Man訓練的DRAGON FOUR SEAS勝出，贏出3/4。SOLAR RIVER獲得亞軍；JOYFUL TREASURE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B 1.10.01 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 1.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | SOLAR RIVER V-/CP1/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 1 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | JOYFUL TREASURE XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | POSITIVE SMILE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GROOVY FEELING TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 10 | 8.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | VIEW ALL THINGS K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | PERFECT PEACH P-/B2/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 8 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | INNO CENTURY Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 7.5 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | CAMP FIRE SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 6 | 49.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | LITTLE SQUID H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 5 | 56.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | TACTICAL COMMAND B E C W Wong · M Newnham | E C W Wong | M Newnham | 12 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | ROBOT KNIGHT TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 9 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INNO CENTURY | 25.2% | 3.97 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 24.5% | 4.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 11.8% | 8.50 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | POSITIVE SMILE | 8.0% | 12.49 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | GROOVY FEELING | 7.8% | 12.78 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | VIEW ALL THINGS | 5.4% | 18.49 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | JOYFUL TREASURE | 5.1% | 19.46 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 4.4% | 22.54 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | SOLAR RIVER | 2.9% | 34.16 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | CAMP FIRE | 2.2% | 44.90 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | PERFECT PEACH | 1.8% | 55.53 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | LITTLE SQUID | 0.7% | 136.41 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 19
PLACE
4 32.5
8 12.5
9 34.5
QUINELLA
8,9 148.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 41.5
4,9 244
8,9 58
FORECAST
8,9 220
TIERCE
8,9,4 1,586
TRIO
4,8,9 452
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 698
QUARTET
8,9,4,1 10,914
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
7/8 189
7/9 134
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/4,8,9 33,760