跑馬地 · 2025-02-05 · 13:15
第 6場
2025-02-05跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1800米。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的NORTHERN BEAST勝出，贏出1/2。DRAGON STAR獲得亞軍；MISSION STRIKE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORTHERN BEAST 後段發力 V 1.49.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | DRAGON STAR 後段發力 V/XB C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | MISSION STRIKE 後段發力 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | AMAZING AWARD 後段發力 CP/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SMART CITY CP/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | KINGLY DEMEANOR 早段領放 TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FLYING SILVER TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 4 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 2 | 48.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PEGASUS GENERAL B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CAN'T GO WONG B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | TAKE ACTION H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 5.4 | 4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORTHERN BEAST | 27.4% | 3.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | AMAZING AWARD | 12.8% | 7.82 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | TAKE ACTION | 12.2% | 8.18 | 12 |
| 4 | 6 | SMART CITY | 11.5% | 8.71 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | CAN'T GO WONG | 9.5% | 10.49 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | FLYING SILVER | 5.2% | 19.30 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 4.8% | 20.74 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 4.7% | 21.32 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | MISSION STRIKE | 4.1% | 24.55 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | DRAGON STAR | 3.4% | 29.40 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 3.1% | 32.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 1.3% | 78.32 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 39.5
PLACE
2 16.5
4 51
9 41
QUINELLA
2,9 321.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 147
2,9 105
4,9 459.5
FORECAST
2,9 512
TIERCE
2,9,4 10,539
TRIO
2,4,9 2,214
FIRST 4
2,4,7,9 3,350
QUARTET
2,9,4,7 78,839
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
5/2 178
5/9 185.5