跑馬地 · 2025-02-05 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-02-05跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1000米。由H Bowman策騎、D J Whyte訓練的RED ELEGANCE勝出，贏出3/4。ETERNAL FORTUNE獲得亞軍；HEROIC MASTER獲得季軍。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RED ELEGANCE B 0.56.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | ETERNAL FORTUNE TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 8 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 7.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS B/SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 8.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GRAND NOVA E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 50.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | FUN ELITE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | ALLGREEKTOME BO-/B1/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 1 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.5 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SERGEANT PEPPER CP M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 53.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | VON BAER C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 3 | 100.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SKY CAP XB/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 95.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HEROIC MASTER | 16.7% | 5.98 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | RED ELEGANCE | 16.7% | 5.98 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 13.3% | 7.51 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 12.5% | 8.00 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 12.3% | 8.13 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | FUN ELITE | 10.8% | 9.29 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 7.4% | 13.60 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | GRAND NOVA | 4.6% | 21.68 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | ALLGREEKTOME | 2.4% | 41.88 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 1.3% | 78.97 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | VON BAER | 1.2% | 83.05 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | SKY CAP | 0.8% | 119.24 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 37
PLACE
3 19.5
4 16
6 24.5
QUINELLA
3,4 110.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 43
3,6 63.5
4,6 55
FORECAST
4,3 208
TIERCE
4,3,6 935
TRIO
3,4,6 222
FIRST 4
2,3,4,6 126
QUARTET
4,3,6,2 2,523
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,9/3,4,6 72,277
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 59
2/4 131.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,5/2,4,9/3,4,6 1,150,066
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,5/2,4,9/Any Combination 15,988