Happy Valley · 2025-02-05 · 21:11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly V 1.49.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | DRAGON STAR Closed strongly V/XB C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | MISSION STRIKE Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SMART CITY CP/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | KINGLY DEMEANOR Led early TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FLYING SILVER TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 4 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 2 | 48.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PEGASUS GENERAL B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CAN'T GO WONG B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | TAKE ACTION H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 5.4 | 4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-05 was Class 4 over 1800m. NORTHERN BEAST, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with DRAGON STAR second and MISSION STRIKE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORTHERN BEAST | 27.4% | 3.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | AMAZING AWARD | 12.8% | 7.82 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | TAKE ACTION | 12.2% | 8.18 | 12 |
| 4 | 6 | SMART CITY | 11.5% | 8.71 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | CAN'T GO WONG | 9.5% | 10.49 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | FLYING SILVER | 5.2% | 19.30 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 4.8% | 20.74 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 4.7% | 21.32 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | MISSION STRIKE | 4.1% | 24.55 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | DRAGON STAR | 3.4% | 29.40 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 3.1% | 32.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 1.3% | 78.32 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 39.5
PLACE
2 16.5
4 51
9 41
QUINELLA
2,9 321.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 147
2,9 105
4,9 459.5
FORECAST
2,9 512
TIERCE
2,9,4 10,539
TRIO
2,4,9 2,214
FIRST 4
2,4,7,9 3,350
QUARTET
2,9,4,7 78,839
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/2 178
5/9 185.5