Happy Valley · 2025-02-05 · 11:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. GLORY B, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with GOOD PROSPECT second and GREAT SPIRIT third. The 1.5 favourite SKY JEWELLERY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GLORY B CP 1.09.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | GOOD PROSPECT H/CP1/XB2 A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 1 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | GREAT SPIRIT CP1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SKY JEWELLERY H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 11 | 1.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | THE PRIME B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 10 | 70.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | BITS SUPERSTAR PC C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 7 | 108.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER CHARIZZARD PC L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT H T Mo · K L Man | H T Mo | K L Man | 4 | 81.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | TAIHANG SCENERY H/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | MEGA BONUS K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 25.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY JEWELLERY | 24.7% | 4.05 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | GLORY B | 21.6% | 4.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | GREAT SPIRIT | 9.9% | 10.06 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 9.4% | 10.62 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 5.9% | 16.84 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | PRIME MORTAR | 5.6% | 17.75 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 5.6% | 18.00 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | GOOD PROSPECT | 5.4% | 18.66 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | MEGA BONUS | 4.7% | 21.48 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 3.1% | 32.54 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | THE PRIME | 2.3% | 44.18 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 1.9% | 53.79 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 65
PLACE
6 29.5
9 50.5
10 18.5
QUINELLA
9,10 648.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 229
6,10 99
9,10 148.5
FORECAST
10,9 1,225
TIERCE
10,9,6 7,553
TRIO
6,9,10 1,520
FIRST 4
1,6,9,10 444
QUARTET
10,9,6,1 21,767
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/6,9,10 43,888
2ND DOUBLE
2/9 109
2/10 299