Happy Valley · 2025-02-05 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. FORTUNE WHISKEY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D Eustace, won by 3/4, with GOLDEN RISE second and GALVANIC third. The 2.6 favourite GOLDEN RISE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT 1.10.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 8 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | GOLDEN RISE B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | GALVANIC TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | SWEET DIAMOND TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 33.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | ACE POWER B/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 11 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | WORLD HERO CP- L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | KA YING POWER H/SR C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | CIRCUIT DUFFY B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 9 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | ROARING BEBE CP-/XB-/B1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | TOGEPI B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | BULB EMPEROR B-/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 7 | 37.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | IRON LEGION B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 71.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | POLARIS C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 20.2% | 4.95 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | GOLDEN RISE | 19.1% | 5.24 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 11.0% | 9.08 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | KA YING POWER | 7.8% | 12.87 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | ROARING BEBE | 7.1% | 14.02 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | WORLD HERO | 6.6% | 15.15 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | ACE POWER | 6.5% | 15.31 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | GALVANIC | 5.7% | 17.55 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | BULB EMPEROR | 5.1% | 19.74 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | TOGEPI | 4.8% | 21.04 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | SWEET DIAMOND | 4.5% | 22.23 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | IRON LEGION | 1.7% | 60.54 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 40
PLACE
2 14
4 40.5
5 15
QUINELLA
2,5 55
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 73
2,5 25
4,5 95
FORECAST
5,2 129
TIERCE
5,2,4 989
TRIO
2,4,5 223
FIRST 4
2,4,5,10 1,240
QUARTET
5,2,4,10 13,989
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/5/2 901
10/5/5 3,666
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,7/2,4,5 25,209
4TH DOUBLE
5/2 94.5
5/5 363