Happy Valley · 2025-02-05 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-05 was Class 3 over 1200m. GALLANT VALOUR, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Richards, won by HD, with EASON second and HAPPY FAT CAT third. The 4.4 favourite GUSTOSISIMO finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GALLANT VALOUR B/TT 1.09.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 4 | 14.0 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | EASON H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 5 | 9.4 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 9 | 18.0 | N |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | GUSTOSISIMO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | KYRUS DRAGON H/XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 3 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | VIEW OF THE WORLD TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | HAROLD WIN B/XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 12 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | NORDIC DRAGON TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 10 | 30.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | WINGS OF WAR B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | TURF PHOENIX B K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 163.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VIEW OF THE WORLD | 28.2% | 3.55 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 13.5% | 7.43 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | EASON | 11.2% | 8.94 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | GUSTOSISIMO | 9.2% | 10.89 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | WINGS OF WAR | 8.6% | 11.57 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | KYRUS DRAGON | 7.3% | 13.74 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 4.9% | 20.48 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | GALLANT VALOUR | 4.8% | 20.73 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | NORDIC DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.78 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 3.9% | 25.61 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | HAROLD WIN | 3.1% | 32.06 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | TURF PHOENIX | 0.5% | 183.75 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 140.5
PLACE
6 31.5
9 42
10 59
QUINELLA
6,9 955.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 283.5
6,10 374.5
9,10 366
FORECAST
9,6 1,595
TIERCE
9,6,10 24,942
TRIO
6,9,10 5,468
FIRST 4
6,8,9,10 14,926
QUARTET
9,6,10,8 333,116
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
4/4/6 106
4/4/9 1,253
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,7/6,9,10 188,378
8TH DOUBLE
4/6 32.5
4/9 344
SIX UP
5/5/2/4/4/9 146,982
5,7/2,5/2,9/3,4/4,6/6,9 9,534
8 [P F Yiu] —
1 [Z Purton], 7 [M F Poon] —