Happy Valley · 2025-02-05 · 18:41
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CONFRINGO Closed strongly V/TT 1.40.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 1 | 9.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | PODIUM Closed strongly TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 6 | 3.5 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN Led early B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 15.0 | N |
| 4 | 11 | SUPERB MOVE P-/B2/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 11 | 7.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER BABY TT Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 3 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | MR GOOD VIBES Closed strongly V A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 9 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | MR ALADDIN V-/B2/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | RUNNING AHEAD Closed strongly L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 7 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 2 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | RED MAVERICK TT2 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 4 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-05 was Class 5 over 1650m. CONFRINGO, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W K Mo, won by SH, with PODIUM second and GALLANT CROWN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite PODIUM finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER BABY | 20.4% | 4.91 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | PODIUM | 12.6% | 7.96 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | MR ALADDIN | 11.4% | 8.79 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 11.0% | 9.13 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | CONFRINGO | 9.9% | 10.11 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPERB MOVE | 6.3% | 15.80 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | RUNNING AHEAD | 6.1% | 16.26 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | RED MAVERICK | 5.8% | 17.38 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 5.1% | 19.80 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | MR GOOD VIBES | 5.0% | 19.88 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN | 4.3% | 23.09 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.28 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 90.5
PLACE
4 31.5
5 50.5
8 15
QUINELLA
4,8 238
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 299.5
4,8 84
5,8 127.5
FORECAST
4,8 547
TIERCE
4,8,5 10,495
TRIO
4,5,8 1,292
FIRST 4
4,5,8,11 1,842
QUARTET
4,8,5,11 49,444