Happy Valley · 2025-02-05 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. HAYDAY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with SUPER SIXTY second and MOTOMAN third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAYDAY 1.09.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER SIXTY H/P A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 5.3 | N |
| 3 | 1 | MOTOMAN PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 6 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS CP/XB B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 4 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | TELECOM POWER B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 9.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | INNO CENTURY C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | ORIENTAL TYCOON PC-/V1 Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 1 | 57.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 10 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | WISDOM STAR B-/V1/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 12 | 132.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | ACCOLADE START B/XB/TT H Bentley · D Eustace | H Bentley | D Eustace | 7 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | COLONEL B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SPICY KNUCKLES H-/CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 45.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAYDAY | 16.6% | 6.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | TELECOM POWER | 15.1% | 6.61 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | SOLAR RIVER | 11.9% | 8.40 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | INNO CENTURY | 10.8% | 9.26 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 10.2% | 9.77 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER SIXTY | 9.9% | 10.09 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | MOTOMAN | 8.3% | 11.98 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | COLONEL | 6.1% | 16.29 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | ACCOLADE START | 5.4% | 18.45 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | SPICY KNUCKLES | 2.3% | 44.44 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 1.9% | 52.90 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | WISDOM STAR | 1.3% | 74.17 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 30
PLACE
1 33
2 13.5
9 19.5
QUINELLA
2,9 108.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 59.5
1,9 101
2,9 42
FORECAST
2,9 190
TIERCE
2,9,1 1,025
TRIO
1,2,9 234
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 175
QUARTET
2,9,1,4 3,186
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/2 543
4/9 132