Happy Valley · 2025-02-05 · 20:11
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP/TT 1.39.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 5 | 6.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 1 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | FLAMINGO TRILLION A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 3.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | RED HARE KING TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-05 was Class 2 over 1650m. MR ASCENDENCY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with TELECOM FIGHTERS second and HELENE FEELING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite MOMENTS IN TIME finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 41.8% | 2.39 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 14.7% | 6.81 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | RED HARE KING | 13.5% | 7.43 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | HELENE FEELING | 8.6% | 11.56 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 7.3% | 13.74 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | MR ASCENDENCY | 7.2% | 13.82 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | SENOR TOBA | 3.8% | 26.60 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.1% | 31.80 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 122.5
PLACE
2 18.5
5 30
7 39.5
QUINELLA
5,7 875.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 85.5
2,7 150.5
5,7 238
FORECAST
5,7 1,522
TIERCE
5,7,2 7,861
TRIO
2,5,7 1,221
FIRST 4
2,3,5,7 3,070
QUARTET
5,7,2,3 72,736
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
10/5 858
10/7 263.5