Happy Valley · 2025-02-05 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-05 was Class 3 over 1650m. SOLEIL FIGHTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with DEFINITIVE second and IVY LEAGUE third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SOLEIL FIGHTER Wire to wire XB 1.40.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | DEFINITIVE B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly BO/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | I CAN H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | QUANTUM PATCH TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 4.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 50.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SETANTA B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | C YEAH CP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 123.0 | 16 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 36.7% | 2.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | IVY LEAGUE | 11.7% | 8.58 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | QUANTUM PATCH | 11.4% | 8.76 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | DEFINITIVE | 8.6% | 11.58 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 6.5% | 15.32 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | I CAN | 5.7% | 17.58 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | LOVERO | 4.9% | 20.61 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | GALAXY WITNESS | 4.4% | 22.47 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 3.7% | 26.95 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | SETANTA | 3.4% | 29.63 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 2.5% | 39.85 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | C YEAH | 0.5% | 214.52 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 21
PLACE
4 10.5
6 31.5
7 42.5
QUINELLA
4,6 103
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 40
4,7 61
6,7 218.5
FORECAST
4,6 144
TIERCE
4,6,7 1,277
TRIO
4,6,7 407
FIRST 4
3,4,6,7 1,304
QUARTET
4,6,7,3 12,900
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
4/4 65.5
4/6 47