跑馬地 · 2025-03-05 · 13:15
第 6場
2025-03-05跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1800米。由R Moore策騎、J Size訓練的BEAUTY ALLIANCE勝出，贏出2-1/4。MISSION STRIKE獲得亞軍；NINJA DERBY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE 後段發力 1.48.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 9 | 4.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | MISSION STRIKE 後段發力 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | NINJA DERBY 後段發力 H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | ME TIME 後段發力 CP/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | HAKKA RADIANCE 早段領放 B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 10 | 4.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 8.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | S J TOURBILLON SR/TT J Orman · C H Yip | J Orman | C H Yip | 7 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | QUICK QUICK WIN 後段發力 TT1 R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 11 | 96.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | PHANTOM CYCLONE CP-/B1/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 1 | 77.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | TOY SOLTERO H/SR L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 12 | 27.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | ROMANTIC FANTASY B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 8 | 33.0 | 46-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 31.6% | 3.17 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 15.2% | 6.59 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | MISSION STRIKE | 11.8% | 8.50 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | CAN'T GO WONG | 8.4% | 11.95 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | ME TIME | 7.9% | 12.68 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | NINJA DERBY | 5.2% | 19.08 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 5.2% | 19.21 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | TOY SOLTERO | 5.2% | 19.26 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 4.9% | 20.41 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | S J TOURBILLON | 2.8% | 35.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 1.1% | 88.57 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | QUICK QUICK WIN | 0.7% | 138.88 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 44.5
PLACE
1 16.5
5 18
12 39.5
QUINELLA
1,5 107
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 45
1,12 124.5
5,12 139.5
FORECAST
1,5 233
TIERCE
1,5,12 1,722
TRIO
1,5,12 386
FIRST 4
1,5,9,12 386
QUARTET
1,5,12,9 7,305
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
1/1 148.5
1/5 32.5