跑馬地 · 2025-03-19 · 14:20
第 8場
2025-03-19跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米。由L Hewitson策騎、K W Lui訓練的WONDER KIT勝出，贏出3/4。SUPER JOY N FUN獲得亞軍；GOLDEN RISE獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門GOLDEN RISE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WONDER KIT V 1.09.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | GOLDEN RISE B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 31.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | STORM RIDER CP2 B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 10 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 9 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | REGAL GEM K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | HAYDAY M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 8 | 34.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GALLANT VALOUR B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 4 | 7.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 6 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 65.0 | 5-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOLDEN RISE | 27.5% | 3.63 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | GALLANT VALOUR | 13.6% | 7.37 | 10 |
| 3 | 9 | PRAWNS ELEVEN | 12.0% | 8.30 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 7.7% | 12.98 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON | 6.7% | 14.82 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | WONDER KIT | 6.7% | 14.86 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | REGAL GEM | 6.2% | 16.04 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 5.2% | 19.28 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | HAYDAY | 4.3% | 23.32 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR | 3.4% | 29.78 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | STORM RIDER | 3.3% | 30.07 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 3.3% | 30.53 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 63.5
PLACE
1 21.5
8 17.5
11 17
QUINELLA
1,8 159.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 57.5
1,11 51.5
8,11 41.5
FORECAST
1,8 352
TIERCE
1,8,11 1,186
TRIO
1,8,11 208
FIRST 4
1,2,8,11 1,693
QUARTET
1,8,11,2 32,848
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 216.5
1/8 70