跑馬地 · 2025-03-19 · 14:55
第 9場
2025-03-19跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、F C Lor訓練的BEAUTY DESTINY勝出，贏出1-1/4。AURORA LADY獲得亞軍；BUNDLE OF CHARM獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門AURORA LADY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY DESTINY H/P/TT 1.08.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | AURORA LADY CP/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | BUNDLE OF CHARM K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 8.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | GUSTOSISIMO TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SON PAK FU B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | WINGS OF WAR B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 33.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 11 | 62.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SWIFT ASCEND B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 8 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | STELLAR EXPRESS B B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 4 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | FULL CREDIT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BRAVE STAR XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 9 | 34.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AURORA LADY | 23.4% | 4.28 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | GUSTOSISIMO | 14.2% | 7.06 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 13.0% | 7.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 9.1% | 10.98 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 8.3% | 12.09 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | FULL CREDIT | 7.9% | 12.65 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | SWIFT ASCEND | 5.7% | 17.67 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | BRAVE STAR | 4.4% | 22.54 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 4.4% | 22.77 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | SON PAK FU | 4.4% | 22.86 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | WINGS OF WAR | 2.7% | 37.09 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.6% | 38.22 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 62
PLACE
3 13.5
5 22.5
11 30
QUINELLA
3,5 88.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 37
3,11 54.5
5,11 148
FORECAST
5,3 147
TIERCE
5,3,11 1,651
TRIO
3,5,11 393
FIRST 4
3,5,9,11 500
QUARTET
5,3,11,9 7,808
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/1/3 171
1/1/5 785
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,11/3,5,11 8,473
8TH DOUBLE
1/3 39
1/5 271
SIX UP
3,11/6,9/4,11/1,10/1,8/3,5 5,579
11/9/11/1/1/5 2,331,177
1 [M Newnham] —
1 [H Bowman], 3 [A Atzeni] —