Happy Valley · 2025-03-19 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-19 was Class 2 over 1200m. BEAUTY DESTINY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with AURORA LADY second and BUNDLE OF CHARM third. The 3.0 favourite AURORA LADY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY DESTINY H/P/TT 1.08.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | AURORA LADY CP/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | BUNDLE OF CHARM K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 8.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | GUSTOSISIMO TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SON PAK FU B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | WINGS OF WAR B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 33.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 11 | 62.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SWIFT ASCEND B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 8 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | STELLAR EXPRESS B B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 4 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | FULL CREDIT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BRAVE STAR XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 9 | 34.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AURORA LADY | 23.4% | 4.28 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | GUSTOSISIMO | 14.2% | 7.06 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 13.0% | 7.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 9.1% | 10.98 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 8.3% | 12.09 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | FULL CREDIT | 7.9% | 12.65 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | SWIFT ASCEND | 5.7% | 17.67 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | BRAVE STAR | 4.4% | 22.54 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 4.4% | 22.77 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | SON PAK FU | 4.4% | 22.86 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | WINGS OF WAR | 2.7% | 37.09 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.6% | 38.22 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 62
PLACE
3 13.5
5 22.5
11 30
QUINELLA
3,5 88.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 37
3,11 54.5
5,11 148
FORECAST
5,3 147
TIERCE
5,3,11 1,651
TRIO
3,5,11 393
FIRST 4
3,5,9,11 500
QUARTET
5,3,11,9 7,808
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/1/3 171
1/1/5 785
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,11/3,5,11 8,473
8TH DOUBLE
1/3 39
1/5 271
SIX UP
3,11/6,9/4,11/1,10/1,8/3,5 5,579
11/9/11/1/1/5 2,331,177
1 [M Newnham] —
1 [H Bowman], 3 [A Atzeni] —