Happy Valley · 2025-03-19 · 18:38
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly V1 1.39.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 11.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | SMILING EMPEROR Closed strongly V/XB L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 2 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | VERBIER Led early B-/V1/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | TRADITION Closed strongly B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 7 | 1.8 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | EN PERFECTO Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | SKYEY BLUE TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 70.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H- B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 10 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | SOLAR GOGO B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | MILES AWAY B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 1 | 30.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 10 | MR ALADDIN J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 12 | SUPERB MOVE K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-19 was Class 5 over 1650m. WINDICATOR FAMILY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with SMILING EMPEROR second and VERBIER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite CALIFORNIA MOXIE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 27.5% | 3.64 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | TRADITION | 15.1% | 6.64 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | VERBIER | 13.8% | 7.25 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | EN PERFECTO | 9.3% | 10.80 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 8.6% | 11.58 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | MILES AWAY | 6.2% | 16.13 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | HARRY'S HERO | 6.0% | 16.72 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | SOLAR GOGO | 5.9% | 17.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | SKYEY BLUE | 4.0% | 25.12 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | SMILING EMPEROR | 3.8% | 26.66 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 113.5
PLACE
1 40
8 26.5
11 18.5
QUINELLA
1,8 828
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 212
1,11 213
8,11 93
FORECAST
8,1 1,344
TIERCE
8,1,11 7,708
TRIO
1,8,11 1,551
FIRST 4
1,3,8,11 1,054
QUARTET
8,1,11,3 29,960