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Happy Valley · 2025-03-19 · 12:10

Race 4

Class 4 1200m Course B 12 runners

Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-19 was Class 4 over 1200m. ACE POWER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with FLYING WROTE second and PERFECT GENERAL third. The 3.2 favourite PERFECT GENERAL finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 ACE POWER B/TT 1.09.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte 3 6.5 SH
2 3 FLYING WROTE H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 1 4.9 SH
3 1 PERFECT GENERAL H/P/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 4 3.2 1-1/2
4 4 SOVEREIGN FUND V-/B2/TT B Thompson · C W Chang 6 13.0 1-1/2
5 5 LOVEISINTHEAIR B/H/TT H Bowman · J Size 8 10.0 2-1/2
6 10 TELECOM POWER B A Atzeni · Y S Tsui 9 9.2 2-3/4
7 2 OUR LUCKY GLORY TT H Bentley · W Y So 11 19.0 2-3/4
8 12 TOGEPI B/TT H T Mo · W K Mo 5 18.0 3
9 7 ACCOLADE START XB-/B/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace 7 19.0 4-1/4
10 9 RACINGRACE XB M F Poon · D J Hall 2 16.0 4-1/4
11 8 MY FLYING ANGEL B L Ferraris · F C Lor 12 38.0 4-1/4
12 6 ONE FOR ALL B/XB/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham 10 38.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ACE POWER2. FLYING WROTE+0.1L3. PERFECT GENERAL+1.5L4. SOVEREIGN FUND+1.5L5. LOVEISINTHEAIR+2.5L6. TELECOM POWER+2.75L7. OUR LUCKY GLORY+2.75L8. TOGEPI+3L9. ACCOLADE START+4.25L10. RACINGRACE+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PERFECT GENERAL (21.4%) finished 3rd — the winner ACE POWER was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 PERFECT GENERAL 21.4% 4.68 3
2 5 LOVEISINTHEAIR 15.4% 6.49 5
3 11 ACE POWER 15.1% 6.61 1
4 10 TELECOM POWER 9.6% 10.37 6
5 3 FLYING WROTE 8.3% 11.99 2
6 7 ACCOLADE START 5.1% 19.48 9
7 8 MY FLYING ANGEL 5.1% 19.70 11
8 9 RACINGRACE 5.0% 19.89 10
9 12 TOGEPI 4.9% 20.21 8
10 2 OUR LUCKY GLORY 4.3% 23.25 7
11 4 SOVEREIGN FUND 3.2% 31.00 4
12 6 ONE FOR ALL 2.4% 41.56 12
PERFECT GENERALLOVEISINTHEAIRACE POWER — wonTELECOM POWERFLYING WROTEACCOLADE STARTMY FLYING ANGELRACINGRACETOGEPIOUR LUCKY GLORYSOVEREIGN FUNDONE FOR ALL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 65.5

PLACE

1 15

3 18

11 21.5

QUINELLA

3,11 150

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 40

1,11 54

3,11 58.5

FORECAST

11,3 334

TIERCE

11,3,1 1,407

TRIO

1,3,11 204

FIRST 4

1,3,4,11 600

QUARTET

11,3,1,4 13,610

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

1/3 32.5

1/11 321