Happy Valley · 2025-03-19 · 11:10
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-19 was Class 3 over 1000m. COLOURFUL KING, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by D Eustace, won by NOSE, with YOUTHFUL SPIRITS second and CELESTIAL COLOURS third. The 1.9 favourite YOUTHFUL SPIRITS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COLOURFUL KING TT 0.56.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 1 | 6.4 | NOSE |
| 2 | 2 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/V/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 1.9 | NOSE |
| 3 | 1 | CELESTIAL COLOURS V/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 3 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | WATCH THIS ONE TT1 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 6 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | GIDDY UP TT E C W Wong · J Richards | E C W Wong | J Richards | 2 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | SPARKLING FELLOW B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | CARROLL STREET CP-/SR-/B2/TT- D McDonogh · D J Whyte | D McDonogh | D J Whyte | 4 | 43.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | SAL XB1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 78.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 19.9% | 5.02 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 18.7% | 5.34 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | COLOURFUL KING | 18.1% | 5.51 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 15.4% | 6.49 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | CARROLL STREET | 7.3% | 13.66 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | HEROIC MASTER | 7.1% | 14.09 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | WATCH THIS ONE | 6.7% | 14.91 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | GIDDY UP | 5.8% | 17.15 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | SAL | 0.9% | 116.90 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 64.5
PLACE
1 20.5
2 10.1
3 20
QUINELLA
2,3 67.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 27.5
1,3 59.5
2,3 29.5
FORECAST
3,2 163
TIERCE
3,2,1 723
TRIO
1,2,3 83
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 330
QUARTET
3,2,1,6 8,445
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/2 47.5
8/3 614.5