Happy Valley · 2025-03-19 · 11:40
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-19 was Class 4 over 1200m. POWER KOEPP, ridden by H Bowman and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-1/2, with MY DAY MY WAY second and MY INTELLIGENT third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | POWER KOEPP B-/E- 1.09.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 2 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | MY DAY MY WAY CP C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 3 | 46.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | GOOD PROSPECT CP/H/XB K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON CP2 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 8 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | EXCELLENT PEERS CP/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 7.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | LUCKY BLESSING B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 12 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | TELECOM DRAGON CP-/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 5 | 7.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | BEAUTY THUNDER TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 9 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | YOUNG HORIZON CP E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | BRAVE JOY TT R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 6 | 49.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 26.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT | 25.4% | 3.93 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | POWER KOEPP | 15.8% | 6.34 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 14.0% | 7.14 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | TELECOM DRAGON | 13.7% | 7.30 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON | 8.0% | 12.54 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | GOOD PROSPECT | 5.2% | 19.27 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 3.8% | 25.99 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY BLESSING | 3.6% | 27.73 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 3.5% | 28.84 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | YOUNG HORIZON | 3.3% | 30.48 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | BRAVE JOY | 1.9% | 51.33 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | MY DAY MY WAY | 1.8% | 56.91 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 21
PLACE
1 11
4 107.5
12 33
QUINELLA
1,4 613.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 194.5
1,12 59
4,12 685.5
FORECAST
1,4 733
TIERCE
1,4,12 7,182
TRIO
1,4,12 1,940
FIRST 4
1,4,8,12 6,183
QUARTET
1,4,12,8 93,257
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/1,4,12 27,839
2ND DOUBLE
3/1 245.5
3/4 857