Happy Valley · 2025-03-19 · 13:10
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-19 was Class 4 over 1000m. SPICY SPANGLE, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by W K Mo, won by 1/2, with PARENTS' LOVE second and COUNTRY DANCER third. The 3.4 favourite PLENTIFUL finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT 0.56.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 2 | 24.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | COUNTRY DANCER E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER SIXTY H/P A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 8.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | PLENTIFUL XB/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE XB-/CP J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 3 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 5 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | NOTTHESILLYONE TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 9 | 66.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER CP L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 7 | 8.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL H/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE H/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 6 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 33.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PLENTIFUL | 31.7% | 3.16 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | PARENTS' LOVE | 14.9% | 6.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 9.8% | 10.21 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER SIXTY | 9.6% | 10.46 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | COUNTRY DANCER | 7.9% | 12.67 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE | 6.5% | 15.33 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 6.0% | 16.72 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE | 3.9% | 25.91 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 3.4% | 29.10 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | SPICY SPANGLE | 2.5% | 40.63 | 1 |
| 11 | 9 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE | 2.0% | 51.00 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 1.9% | 51.71 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 242.5
PLACE
4 17
10 21.5
11 63.5
QUINELLA
4,11 473.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 50
4,11 144
10,11 213
FORECAST
11,4 1,149
TIERCE
11,4,10 7,335
TRIO
4,10,11 994
FIRST 4
4,8,10,11 1,592
QUARTET
11,4,10,8 51,301
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
9/4 36
9/11 1,804