Happy Valley · 2025-03-19 · 21:41
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | M UNICORN Closed strongly P/TT 1.38.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 4.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 7.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | EXCELLENCE VALUE Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 5.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | FLYING FORTRESS TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 2 | 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 7.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 11 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | TEST FOR LOVE XB R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 5 | 47.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | SAMARKAND CP/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 7 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 10 | 50.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | DEVAS TWELVE Led early CP-/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 36.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 40.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MORGAN SUCCESS J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-19 was Class 3 over 1650m. M UNICORN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with STURDY RUBY second and EXCELLENCE VALUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite FLYING FORTRESS finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 26.1% | 3.84 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | M UNICORN | 21.8% | 4.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | STURDY RUBY | 10.6% | 9.39 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | FLYING FORTRESS | 8.7% | 11.49 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | QUANTUM PATCH | 7.0% | 14.24 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | SAMARKAND | 6.3% | 15.96 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 4.8% | 20.76 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | LOVERO | 3.5% | 28.80 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | DEVAS TWELVE | 3.3% | 30.57 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | SURE JOYFUL | 3.0% | 33.52 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | RISING FROM ASHES | 2.7% | 36.67 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | TEST FOR LOVE | 2.2% | 45.27 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 43
PLACE
1 17
2 19
10 22
QUINELLA
1,10 169.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 40
1,10 53.5
2,10 56
FORECAST
1,10 312
TIERCE
1,10,2 913
TRIO
1,2,10 160
FIRST 4
1,2,10,11 116
QUARTET
1,10,2,11 3,061
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,11/1,2,10 38,440
6TH DOUBLE
11/1 1,778.5
11/10 524
TRIPLE TRIO
6,8,9/4,10,11/1,2,10 1,708,822
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,8,9/4,10,11/Any Combination 34,176