跑馬地 · 2025-04-16 · 10:45
第 1場
2025-04-16跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1000米。由A Badel策騎、T P Yung訓練的DAY DAY VICTORY勝出，贏出1/2。RAGNARR獲得亞軍；ACE TALENT獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門DIAMOND SOARS跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DAY DAY VICTORY 0.56.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | RAGNARR CP/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 8.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | ACE TALENT PC/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | CAMP FIRE SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 8.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS B/TT E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | SPICY SO SMART V/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 6 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | NOTTHESILLYONE TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | SOLAR UP H/P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 66.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | URBAN TRIUMPH V-/TT- K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 48.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH | 27.1% | 3.69 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | RAGNARR | 18.5% | 5.39 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS | 13.1% | 7.65 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 10.9% | 9.19 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 5.8% | 17.33 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | ACE TALENT | 5.7% | 17.65 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 3.8% | 26.24 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO | 3.4% | 29.65 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | CAMP FIRE | 3.1% | 32.36 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | SOLAR UP | 3.0% | 32.81 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 2.9% | 34.06 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | SPICY SO SMART | 2.7% | 36.68 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 63.5
PLACE
7 25.5
10 23.5
11 46
QUINELLA
7,10 299
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 100.5
7,11 193.5
10,11 177
FORECAST
10,7 655
TIERCE
10,7,11 8,012
TRIO
7,10,11 1,460
FIRST 4
7,9,10,11 1,894
QUARTET
10,7,11,9 47,123