跑馬地 · 2025-04-30 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-04-30跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米。由A Hamelin策騎、W K Mo訓練的HAPPY FAT CAT勝出，贏出1/2。SPICY GOLD獲得亞軍；STORM RIDER獲得季軍。4.9倍大熱門SOLID CAR跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT 1.09.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 11 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SPICY GOLD P/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 1 | 5.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | STORM RIDER CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | GALAXY WITNESS B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 9 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | WRITTEN CASA B/TT M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 3 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 10 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.6 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | SOLID CAR K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 4.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CHARMING BABE TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | DENFIELD TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 7 | 29.0 | 5 |
| — | 4 | VICTORY MOMENTS E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SPICY GOLD | 19.8% | 5.04 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | STORM RIDER | 18.6% | 5.38 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE | 12.3% | 8.15 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | GALAXY WITNESS | 10.3% | 9.69 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 9.3% | 10.73 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 9.0% | 11.10 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | SOLID CAR | 5.4% | 18.46 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | DENFIELD | 4.7% | 21.09 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 3.7% | 27.40 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | WRITTEN CASA | 3.5% | 28.79 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | CHARMING BABE | 3.4% | 29.55 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 148.5
PLACE
1 19.5
3 33
5 20.5
QUINELLA
1,3 141.5
3,5 243
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 85
1,5 58
3,5 141.5
FORECAST
3,1 271
3,5 419
TIERCE
3,1,5 1,356
3,5,1 1,404
TRIO
1,3,5 316
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 1,226
QUARTET
3,1,5,11 16,677
3,5,1,11 18,764
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,10/1,3,5 32,941
6TH DOUBLE
10/1 18.5
10/3 688
10/5 19.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,4/6,9,10/1,3,5 1,514,842
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,4/6,9,10/Any Combination 30,296