Happy Valley · 2025-04-30 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-30 was Class 3 over 1200m. HAPPY FAT CAT, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by W K Mo, won by 1/2, with SPICY GOLD second and STORM RIDER third. The 4.9 favourite SOLID CAR finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT 1.09.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 11 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SPICY GOLD P/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 1 | 5.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | STORM RIDER CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | GALAXY WITNESS B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 9 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | WRITTEN CASA B/TT M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 3 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 10 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.6 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | SOLID CAR K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 4.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CHARMING BABE TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | DENFIELD TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 7 | 29.0 | 5 |
| — | 4 | VICTORY MOMENTS E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SPICY GOLD | 19.8% | 5.04 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | STORM RIDER | 18.6% | 5.38 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE | 12.3% | 8.15 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | GALAXY WITNESS | 10.3% | 9.69 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 9.3% | 10.73 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 9.0% | 11.10 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | SOLID CAR | 5.4% | 18.46 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | DENFIELD | 4.7% | 21.09 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 3.7% | 27.40 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | WRITTEN CASA | 3.5% | 28.79 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | CHARMING BABE | 3.4% | 29.55 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 148.5
PLACE
1 19.5
3 33
5 20.5
QUINELLA
1,3 141.5
3,5 243
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 85
1,5 58
3,5 141.5
FORECAST
3,1 271
3,5 419
TIERCE
3,1,5 1,356
3,5,1 1,404
TRIO
1,3,5 316
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 1,226
QUARTET
3,1,5,11 16,677
3,5,1,11 18,764
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,10/1,3,5 32,941
6TH DOUBLE
10/1 18.5
10/3 688
10/5 19.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,4/6,9,10/1,3,5 1,514,842
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,4/6,9,10/Any Combination 30,296