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Happy Valley · 2025-04-30 · 14:55

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-30 was Class 3 over 1200m. KAHOLO ANGEL, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with VICTORY SKY second and SOVEREIGN FUND third. The 3.7 favourite GOLDEN RISE finished 9th.

Result

Official · 1.09.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 KAHOLO ANGEL TT 1.09.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 4.7 HD
2 9 VICTORY SKY SR-/CP1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 11 9.8 HD
3 12 SOVEREIGN FUND B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang 9 16.0 HD
4 3 SUPERB BOY TT H Bowman · K W Lui 5 17.0 3/4
5 11 FUN ELITE TT M F Poon · T P Yung 2 5.6 1
6 4 DRAGON FOUR SEAS B A Badel · K L Man 10 11.0 1-1/4
7 5 STORMING DRAGON V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 8 11.0 1-1/2
8 8 GENIUS BABY M L Yeung · D A Hayes 3 115.0 3-1/2
9 6 GOLDEN RISE B A Atzeni · J Size 1 3.7 3-1/2
10 2 ETERNAL FORTUNE TT Z Purton · C S Shum 7 9.1 4-1/2
11 7 STAR SATYR H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 6 33.0 5-1/4
12 10 WARRIORS DREAM H/XB/P1/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace 12 79.0 6

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KAHOLO ANGEL2. VICTORY SKY+0.2L3. SOVEREIGN FUND+0.2L4. SUPERB BOY+0.75L5. FUN ELITE+1L6. DRAGON FOUR SEAS+1.25L7. STORMING DRAGON+1.5L8. GENIUS BABY+3.5L9. GOLDEN RISE+3.5L10. ETERNAL FORTUNE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick KAHOLO ANGEL (17.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 KAHOLO ANGEL 17.0% 5.89 1
2 4 DRAGON FOUR SEAS 16.1% 6.22 6
3 9 VICTORY SKY 14.8% 6.76 2
4 2 ETERNAL FORTUNE 11.5% 8.68 10
5 5 STORMING DRAGON 10.0% 10.02 7
6 6 GOLDEN RISE 9.7% 10.31 9
7 11 FUN ELITE 7.3% 13.75 5
8 3 SUPERB BOY 4.0% 24.85 4
9 7 STAR SATYR 3.8% 26.62 11
10 12 SOVEREIGN FUND 3.8% 26.67 3
11 10 WARRIORS DREAM 1.6% 61.70 12
12 8 GENIUS BABY 0.5% 191.00 8
KAHOLO ANGEL — wonDRAGON FOUR SEASVICTORY SKYETERNAL FORTUNESTORMING DRAGONGOLDEN RISEFUN ELITESUPERB BOYSTAR SATYRSOVEREIGN FUNDWARRIORS DREAMGENIUS BABY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 47

PLACE

1 17.5

9 31.5

12 47

QUINELLA

1,9 249

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 85

1,12 128

9,12 222

FORECAST

1,9 464

TIERCE

1,9,12 4,437

TRIO

1,9,12 883

FIRST 4

1,3,9,12 3,572

QUARTET

1,9,12,3 60,520

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

3/6/1 6,920

3/6/9 1,994

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

6,8,12/1,9,12 555,973

8TH DOUBLE

6/1 928

6/9 251.5

SIX UP

2/1/10/3/6/1 1,704,203

2,4/1,4/6,10/1,3,5/6,8/1,9 18,419

8 [F C Lor]

1 [Z Purton]