Happy Valley · 2025-04-30 · 19:11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | THE AZURE Closed strongly 1.39.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 2.9 | NOSE |
| 2 | 8 | DRAGON STAR B/XB K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 5.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.3 | SH |
| 4 | 9 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT2 A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 11 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR XB H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 3 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SATIRICAL FAN Led early TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 8 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | TOP TIME Closed strongly K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 6.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GALLANT CROWN P-/B2/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 45.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | CONFRINGO V-/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 12 | 88.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | RADIANT SWIFT Closed strongly B1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 7 | 107.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 7 | IRON FIGHTER B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 1 | 80.0 | 17 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-30 was Class 4 over 1650m. THE AZURE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by NOSE, with DRAGON STAR second and ATOMIC BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | THE AZURE | 28.6% | 3.49 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 18.2% | 5.48 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | DRAGON STAR | 15.6% | 6.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | TOP TIME | 10.9% | 9.21 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 6.5% | 15.32 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR | 5.6% | 17.95 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | SATIRICAL FAN | 5.4% | 18.36 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 4.8% | 20.96 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | RADIANT SWIFT | 1.6% | 62.62 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.6% | 62.63 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | CONFRINGO | 0.8% | 132.82 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | IRON FIGHTER | 0.4% | 259.16 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 29.5
PLACE
5 11.5
8 19
12 16.5
QUINELLA
5,8 74.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 29
5,12 29.5
8,12 39
FORECAST
5,8 124
TIERCE
5,8,12 367
TRIO
5,8,12 102
FIRST 4
5,8,9,12 164
QUARTET
5,8,12,9 2,021
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/5 219.5
5/8 50