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Happy Valley · 2025-04-30 · 13:15

Race 6

Class 4 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-30 was Class 4 over 1200m. LOVING VIBES, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with NEVER TOO SOON second and COUNTRY DANCER third. The 3.7 favourite GIDDY UP finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.09.35
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 LOVING VIBES CP- 1.09.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 8 4.8 1/2
2 6 NEVER TOO SOON CP M F Poon · D J Hall 2 8.4 1/2
3 9 COUNTRY DANCER E A Hamelin · J Size 6 10.0 3/4
4 12 MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 4 22.0 1-1/4
5 2 PERFECT GENERAL H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 9 6.7 1-3/4
6 1 GIDDY UP CP1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 1 3.7 2-1/2
7 11 VIGOR ELLEEGANT TT2 K De Melo · K L Man 5 53.0 3-3/4
8 4 RUN RUN SMART TT A Badel · F C Lor 7 15.0 4
9 5 ENDUED V/TT H Bowman · T P Yung 12 7.6 4-1/4
10 7 CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo 3 16.0 5
11 3 FORTUNE WARRIOR P-/XB/H2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 10 30.0 5-1/4
12 8 CHAMPION METHOD B M Chadwick · C S Shum 11 65.0 10

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LOVING VIBES2. NEVER TOO SOON+0.5L3. COUNTRY DANCER+0.75L4. MY INTELLIGENT+1.25L5. PERFECT GENERAL+1.75L6. GIDDY UP+2.5L7. VIGOR ELLEEGANT+3.75L8. RUN RUN SMART+4L9. ENDUED+4.25L10. CRYSTAL POWERFUL+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick LOVING VIBES (21.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 LOVING VIBES 21.3% 4.69 1
2 1 GIDDY UP 18.0% 5.55 6
3 5 ENDUED 11.2% 8.90 9
4 2 PERFECT GENERAL 11.1% 8.99 5
5 7 CRYSTAL POWERFUL 8.5% 11.73 10
6 6 NEVER TOO SOON 6.8% 14.63 2
7 9 COUNTRY DANCER 6.1% 16.52 3
8 12 MY INTELLIGENT 4.2% 23.79 4
9 3 FORTUNE WARRIOR 4.2% 23.91 11
10 4 RUN RUN SMART 3.4% 29.66 8
11 8 CHAMPION METHOD 2.6% 37.99 12
12 11 VIGOR ELLEEGANT 2.5% 40.10 7
LOVING VIBES — wonGIDDY UPENDUEDPERFECT GENERALCRYSTAL POWERFULNEVER TOO SOONCOUNTRY DANCERMY INTELLIGENTFORTUNE WARRIORRUN RUN SMARTCHAMPION METHODVIGOR ELLEEGANT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 48.5

PLACE

6 23.5

9 32.5

10 18.5

QUINELLA

6,10 216

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 144.5

6,10 70.5

9,10 97.5

FORECAST

10,6 432

TIERCE

10,6,9 3,169

TRIO

6,9,10 751

FIRST 4

6,9,10,12 2,290

QUARTET

10,6,9,12 37,085

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/6 335.5

1/10 1,387.5