Happy Valley · 2025-04-30 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-30 was Class 4 over 1200m. LOVING VIBES, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with NEVER TOO SOON second and COUNTRY DANCER third. The 3.7 favourite GIDDY UP finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LOVING VIBES CP- 1.09.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 4.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON CP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | COUNTRY DANCER E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | PERFECT GENERAL H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | GIDDY UP CP1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 1 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT TT2 K De Melo · K L Man | K De Melo | K L Man | 5 | 53.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | RUN RUN SMART TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | ENDUED V/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 12 | 7.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 3 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | FORTUNE WARRIOR P-/XB/H2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 10 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | CHAMPION METHOD B M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 11 | 65.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LOVING VIBES | 21.3% | 4.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | GIDDY UP | 18.0% | 5.55 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | ENDUED | 11.2% | 8.90 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | PERFECT GENERAL | 11.1% | 8.99 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 8.5% | 11.73 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON | 6.8% | 14.63 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | COUNTRY DANCER | 6.1% | 16.52 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT | 4.2% | 23.79 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 4.2% | 23.91 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | RUN RUN SMART | 3.4% | 29.66 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | CHAMPION METHOD | 2.6% | 37.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 2.5% | 40.10 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 48.5
PLACE
6 23.5
9 32.5
10 18.5
QUINELLA
6,10 216
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 144.5
6,10 70.5
9,10 97.5
FORECAST
10,6 432
TIERCE
10,6,9 3,169
TRIO
6,9,10 751
FIRST 4
6,9,10,12 2,290
QUARTET
10,6,9,12 37,085
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
1/6 335.5
1/10 1,387.5