Happy Valley · 2025-04-30 · 11:45

Race 3

Class 2 1000m Course C+3 8 runners

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-30 was Class 2 over 1000m. GLORY ELITE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with COLOURFUL KING second and WHIZZ KID third. The 1.8 favourite COLOURFUL KING finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 0.56.08

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	7	GLORY ELITE H 0.56.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting	K C Leung	K H Ting	5	121 lb	4.3	3/4
2	8	COLOURFUL KING TT A Atzeni · D Eustace	A Atzeni	D Eustace	1	120 lb	1.8	3/4
3	6	WHIZZ KID V/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz	H Bentley	A S Cruz	3	122 lb	10.0	2-1/4
4	2	AURORA LADY CP/TT Z Purton · P C Ng	Z Purton	P C Ng	6	128 lb	6.3	3
5	4	BRAVE STAR XB A Hamelin · K W Lui	A Hamelin	K W Lui	2	124 lb	51.0	3
6	5	WONDER KIT V L Hewitson · K W Lui	L Hewitson	K W Lui	8	124 lb	45.0	3-3/4
7	1	SON PAK FU B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz	M Chadwick	A S Cruz	4	134 lb	30.0	4
8	3	RED ELEGANCE B H Bowman · D J Whyte	H Bowman	D J Whyte	7	126 lb	9.7	4-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25

The model's top pick COLOURFUL KING (42.4%) finished 2nd — the winner GLORY ELITE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	8	COLOURFUL KING	42.4%	2.36	2	1.8
2	7	GLORY ELITE	18.6%	5.37	1	4.3
3	2	AURORA LADY	18.0%	5.54	4	6.3
4	3	RED ELEGANCE	9.2%	10.83	8	9.7
5	1	SON PAK FU	4.0%	24.84	7	30.0
6	5	WONDER KIT	2.6%	38.86	6	45.0
7	6	WHIZZ KID	2.5%	39.29	3	10.0
8	4	BRAVE STAR	2.5%	39.47	5	51.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 43.5

PLACE

6 21.5

7 14

8 10.1

QUINELLA

7,8 40

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 46.5

6,8 31.5

7,8 18

FORECAST

7,8 110

TIERCE

7,8,6 513

TRIO

6,7,8 92

FIRST 4

2,6,7,8 76

QUARTET

7,8,6,2 1,798

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

5,8,12/6,7,8 1,195

2ND DOUBLE

5/7 180

5/8 10.5

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