Happy Valley · 2025-04-30 · 20:42
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT 1.48.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 11 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | PRESTIGE GOOD V/TT- J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly PC/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 8 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE Closed strongly B1 Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 9 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | S J TOURBILLON Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 1 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | ME TIME CP/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 8.3 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 32.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | ESCAPE ROUTE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Led early K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 59.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | VON BAER CP- A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 12 | 58.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-30 was Class 4 over 1800m. HARMONY GALAXY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with CAN'T GO WONG second and PRESTIGE GOOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite MISSION STRIKE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE | 14.7% | 6.81 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 14.1% | 7.07 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 11.0% | 9.10 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | SOARING BRONCO | 10.5% | 9.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 9.6% | 10.43 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | VON BAER | 7.6% | 13.16 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | S J TOURBILLON | 7.5% | 13.30 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 7.0% | 14.29 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | CAN'T GO WONG | 6.8% | 14.78 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | ME TIME | 5.1% | 19.79 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 4.2% | 23.93 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 2.0% | 50.74 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 203.5
PLACE
1 49.5
2 16.5
4 31
QUINELLA
1,4 848
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 140.5
1,4 240.5
2,4 85
FORECAST
1,4 1,881
TIERCE
1,4,2 7,256
TRIO
1,2,4 1,096
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 1,356
QUARTET
1,4,2,9 34,239
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/2/1 5,394
7/2/4 479
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/1,2,4 14,935
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 916
2/4 59.5