跑馬地 · 2025-05-07 · 14:55
第 9場
2025-05-07跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由L Ferraris策騎、D A Hayes訓練的CHATEAUNEUF勝出，贏出2-1/4。KING MILES獲得亞軍；BEAUTY INFINITY獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門KING MILES跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHATEAUNEUF CP/TT 1.09.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | KING MILES TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 3.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY INFINITY B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | JOLLY RULER TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.1 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 44.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | WAVE GARDEN CP/TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 135.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | FATAL BLOW A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 11 | 31.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 5.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FAST RESPONDER SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 2 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | BASIC INSTINCT B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 165.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | WOLF COMING TT1 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 36.0 | 53-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY PLANET | 23.1% | 4.32 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | CHATEAUNEUF | 17.5% | 5.73 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | KING MILES | 15.2% | 6.58 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 14.2% | 7.02 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | FAST RESPONDER | 7.4% | 13.46 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 5.8% | 17.36 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 4.7% | 21.43 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | FATAL BLOW | 4.2% | 23.55 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | JOLLY RULER | 4.2% | 23.67 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | WOLF COMING | 2.2% | 44.87 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | WAVE GARDEN | 0.9% | 106.10 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | BASIC INSTINCT | 0.5% | 209.66 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 38.5
PLACE
3 28.5
4 14.5
10 13
QUINELLA
4,10 64
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 59
3,10 52.5
4,10 27
FORECAST
4,10 146
TIERCE
4,10,3 711
TRIO
3,4,10 165
FIRST 4
3,4,10,12 225
QUARTET
4,10,3,12 3,667
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/2/4 4,727
1/2/10 766
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,10/3,4,10 6,495
8TH DOUBLE
2/4 1,047.5
2/10 182.5
SIX UP
2,6/6,10/11,12/1,4/2,10/4,10 4,030
2/10/12/1/2/4 655,247
1 [H Bowman] —
1 [D J Whyte] —