跑馬地 · 2025-05-07 · 11:10
第 2場
2025-05-07跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1000米。由A Badel策騎、T P Yung訓練的DAY DAY VICTORY勝出，贏出1-1/4。MODEST GENTLEMAN獲得亞軍；ACE TALENT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DAY DAY VICTORY 0.57.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | ACE TALENT PC/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPICY KNUCKLES CP/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 2 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | GUSTY FIGHTER BO-/XB-/TT2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | RAGNARR CP/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 12 | 8.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | NOTTHESILLYONE TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | RUBY SAILING B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE V/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | LIFE OF STONE PC K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 7 | 78.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | SPEEDY FORTUNE CP/TT E C W Wong · D Eustace | E C W Wong | D Eustace | 8 | 9.2 | 79 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 35.9% | 2.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | ACE TALENT | 22.0% | 4.55 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 10.1% | 9.91 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | RAGNARR | 8.5% | 11.77 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | RUBY SAILING | 4.3% | 23.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.1% | 24.56 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | SPICY KNUCKLES | 3.1% | 32.72 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | GUSTY FIGHTER | 2.9% | 34.77 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 2.9% | 34.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE | 2.7% | 37.33 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 2.5% | 39.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | LIFE OF STONE | 1.1% | 87.10 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 34
PLACE
3 14
7 29
12 18
QUINELLA
3,7 207.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 75.5
3,12 32
7,12 75
FORECAST
3,7 280
TIERCE
3,7,12 778
TRIO
3,7,12 161
FIRST 4
2,3,7,12 870
QUARTET
3,7,12,2 13,925
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
11/3 477
11/7 151