跑馬地 · 2025-05-07 · 11:40
第 3場
2025-05-07跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程2200米。由M L Yeung策騎、J Size訓練的PERFECT PAIRING勝出，贏出1-1/4。HAKKA RADIANCE獲得亞軍；MANAGEMENT FOLKS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門HAKKA RADIANCE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PERFECT PAIRING 後段發力 B 2.17.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 7 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | HAKKA RADIANCE B-/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 3 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS 後段發力 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 8 | 6.5 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | MIDORI GIANT B/TT1 H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 1 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | S J TOURBILLON 後段發力 SR-/CP2/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 10 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ROMANTIC FANTASY 早段領放 B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 6 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SERANGOON CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | ALL ARE MINE 後段發力 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | OCEAN IMPACT J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 2 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | CAN'T GO WONG B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 15.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 9.6 | 37-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 25.5% | 3.93 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 14.1% | 7.11 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SERANGOON | 9.3% | 10.81 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 9.1% | 11.03 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | CAN'T GO WONG | 8.1% | 12.42 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | PERFECT PAIRING | 7.8% | 12.83 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | MIDORI GIANT | 7.8% | 12.90 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | S J TOURBILLON | 6.2% | 16.25 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 5.7% | 17.66 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | OCEAN IMPACT | 4.1% | 24.50 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | ALL ARE MINE | 2.6% | 37.83 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 77.5
PLACE
8 20
10 17
11 20.5
QUINELLA
10,11 163
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 47.5
8,11 78
10,11 59.5
FORECAST
11,10 349
TIERCE
11,10,8 1,182
TRIO
8,10,11 153
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 653
QUARTET
11,10,8,2 14,393
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,12/8,10,11 1,910
2ND DOUBLE
3/10 22.5
3/11 154