Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2025-05-07 · 19:36

Race 3

Class 4 2200m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 2.17.78
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B 2.17.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · J Size 7 7.7 1-1/4
2 10 HAKKA RADIANCE B-/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 3 3.9 1-1/4
3 8 MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall 8 6.5 3
4 2 MIDORI GIANT B/TT1 H Bowman · M Newnham 1 8.3 4
5 7 S J TOURBILLON Closed strongly SR-/CP2/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip 10 11.0 4-3/4
6 4 ROMANTIC FANTASY Led early B/TT A Badel · J Richards 6 11.0 5-1/4
7 3 SERANGOON CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 5 11.0 5-1/4
8 9 ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 17.0 5-1/2
9 5 OCEAN IMPACT J Orman · D J Whyte 2 16.0 7
10 1 CAN'T GO WONG B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 9 15.0 17-1/2
11 6 ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT B/TT Z Purton · J Richards 4 9.6 37-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-07 was Class 4 over 2200m. PERFECT PAIRING, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with HAKKA RADIANCE second and MANAGEMENT FOLKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite HAKKA RADIANCE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PERFECT PAIRING—2. HAKKA RADIANCE+1.25L3. MANAGEMENT FOLKS+3L4. MIDORI GIANT+4L5. S J TOURBILLON+4.75L6. ROMANTIC FANTASY+5.25L7. SERANGOON+5.25L8. ALL ARE MINE+5.5L9. OCEAN IMPACT+7L10. CAN'T GO WONG+17.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick HAKKA RADIANCE (25.5%) finished 2nd — the winner PERFECT PAIRING was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 HAKKA RADIANCE 25.5% 3.93 2
2 8 MANAGEMENT FOLKS 14.1% 7.11 3
3 3 SERANGOON 9.3% 10.81 7
4 6 ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT 9.1% 11.03 11
5 1 CAN'T GO WONG 8.1% 12.42 10
6 11 PERFECT PAIRING 7.8% 12.83 1
7 2 MIDORI GIANT 7.8% 12.90 4
8 7 S J TOURBILLON 6.2% 16.25 5
9 4 ROMANTIC FANTASY 5.7% 17.66 6
10 5 OCEAN IMPACT 4.1% 24.50 9
11 9 ALL ARE MINE 2.6% 37.83 8
HAKKA RADIANCEMANAGEMENT FOLKSSERANGOONROSEWOOD FLEETFOOTCAN'T GO WONGPERFECT PAIRING — wonMIDORI GIANTS J TOURBILLONROMANTIC FANTASYOCEAN IMPACTALL ARE MINE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 77.5

PLACE

8 20

10 17

11 20.5

QUINELLA

10,11 163

QUINELLA PLACE

8,10 47.5

8,11 78

10,11 59.5

FORECAST

11,10 349

TIERCE

11,10,8 1,182

TRIO

8,10,11 153

FIRST 4

2,8,10,11 653

QUARTET

11,10,8,2 14,393

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,7,12/8,10,11 1,910

2ND DOUBLE

3/10 22.5

3/11 154