Happy Valley · 2025-05-07 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KEEFY Closed strongly 1.39.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | HIGHLAND RAHY Led early B/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 7 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | QUANTUM PATCH TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 1 | 7.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SAMARKAND CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | FORTUNATE SON B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 9.6 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 121.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | CHARITY TOGETHER Closed strongly B/TT1 A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 10 | 137.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | M UNICORN P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 17.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | WIN BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 11 | 67.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | LEGENDARY YEARS B1 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 2 | 151.0 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-07 was Class 3 over 1650m. KEEFY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with LUCKY TOUCH second and HIGHLAND RAHY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite LUCKY TOUCH finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LUCKY TOUCH | 27.9% | 3.58 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 22.9% | 4.37 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | QUANTUM PATCH | 18.7% | 5.35 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | CASA ROCHESTER | 10.1% | 9.86 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | FORTUNATE SON | 4.7% | 21.46 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | M UNICORN | 4.5% | 22.27 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | SAMARKAND | 4.2% | 23.70 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | KEEFY | 3.4% | 29.01 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | WIN BEAUTY VIVA | 1.8% | 56.86 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 0.7% | 140.69 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | CHARITY TOGETHER | 0.7% | 151.36 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | LEGENDARY YEARS | 0.4% | 250.38 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 195
PLACE
2 53
7 16
10 12
QUINELLA
2,10 288
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 138
2,10 98
7,10 28
FORECAST
2,10 594
TIERCE
2,10,7 3,665
TRIO
2,7,10 386
FIRST 4
2,7,10,11 440
QUARTET
2,10,7,11 16,056
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 692
1/10 40.5