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Happy Valley · 2025-05-07 · 13:10

Race 6

Class 4 1200m Course A 11 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-07 was Class 4 over 1200m. TELECOM POWER, ridden by H Bentley and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with ALWAYS MY FOLKS second and BITS SUPERSTAR third. The 2.2 favourite AURIO did not finish.

Result

Official · 1.10.38
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 TELECOM POWER B 1.10.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · Y S Tsui 4 4.3 SH
2 11 ALWAYS MY FOLKS H B Thompson · C W Chang 2 11.0 SH
3 7 BITS SUPERSTAR PC- E C W Wong · P C Ng 7 35.0 1/2
4 8 EXCELLENT PEERS CP/XB A Badel · F C Lor 9 13.0 3/4
5 5 SHOTGUN XB2 M F Poon · D J Hall 11 79.0 2-1/4
6 10 SUPER CHARIZZARD PC A Atzeni · M Newnham 3 13.0 2-3/4
7 3 LOVEISINTHEAIR B/H/TT H Bowman · J Size 10 7.1 4-1/2
8 6 ACE POWER B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte 8 16.0 4-1/2
9 1 MULTIDUTCH B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 54.0 6-1/4
10 4 KING ALLOY B1 A Hamelin · K H Ting 6 68.0 10
11 9 BRAVE JOY TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 12 123.0 16-1/2
2 AURIO SR/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 5 2.2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TELECOM POWER2. ALWAYS MY FOLKS+0.1L3. BITS SUPERSTAR+0.5L4. EXCELLENT PEERS+0.75L5. SHOTGUN+2.25L6. SUPER CHARIZZARD+2.75L7. LOVEISINTHEAIR+4.5L8. ACE POWER+4.5L9. MULTIDUTCH+6.25L10. KING ALLOY+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick TELECOM POWER (27.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 TELECOM POWER 27.0% 3.71 1
2 3 LOVEISINTHEAIR 21.8% 4.58 7
3 8 EXCELLENT PEERS 14.3% 6.98 4
4 10 SUPER CHARIZZARD 9.9% 10.11 6
5 6 ACE POWER 8.4% 11.87 8
6 4 KING ALLOY 3.7% 26.76 10
7 11 ALWAYS MY FOLKS 3.4% 29.58 2
8 1 MULTIDUTCH 3.1% 31.97 9
9 7 BITS SUPERSTAR 3.0% 33.00 3
10 9 BRAVE JOY 2.9% 34.68 11
11 5 SHOTGUN 2.4% 41.65 5
TELECOM POWER — wonLOVEISINTHEAIREXCELLENT PEERSSUPER CHARIZZARDACE POWERKING ALLOYALWAYS MY FOLKSMULTIDUTCHBITS SUPERSTARBRAVE JOYSHOTGUN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 43

PLACE

7 70

11 25.5

12 15

QUINELLA

11,12 221

QUINELLA PLACE

7,11 434.5

7,12 157.5

11,12 68.5

FORECAST

12,11 392

TIERCE

12,11,7 9,187

TRIO

7,11,12 1,916

FIRST 4

7,8,11,12 3,813

QUARTET

12,11,7,8 71,078

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

10/11 182.5

10/12 206