Happy Valley · 2025-05-07 · 21:41
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly SR/TT 1.40.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.0 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | THESIS Closed strongly TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | SILVER UP Closed strongly B A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 2 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 1 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | ICONICAL TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | POSITIVE SMILE Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 98.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly CP2/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | LUCKY BANNER Led early TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | CHILL MASTER TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 5 | 92.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | OWNERS' PRAISE TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | GOR MO TUEN Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 64.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | BUCEPHALAS H-/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-07 was Class 4 over 1650m. IVY LEAGUE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with THESIS second and SILVER UP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite JUMBO FORTUNE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 25.9% | 3.85 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | ICONICAL | 25.7% | 3.89 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | IVY LEAGUE | 10.0% | 10.04 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 6.6% | 15.09 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | BUCEPHALAS | 6.5% | 15.39 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | SILVER UP | 5.6% | 17.77 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 5.2% | 19.21 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | THESIS | 5.0% | 19.86 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | LUCKY BANNER | 3.2% | 31.12 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | CHILL MASTER | 2.1% | 48.04 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | GOR MO TUEN | 2.0% | 48.89 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | POSITIVE SMILE | 2.0% | 49.20 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 70.5
PLACE
1 21
4 30.5
7 41.5
QUINELLA
1,4 299.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 86.5
1,7 162.5
4,7 176.5
FORECAST
1,4 519
TIERCE
1,4,7 4,443
TRIO
1,4,7 967
FIRST 4
1,4,7,11 466
QUARTET
1,4,7,11 13,182
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,11,12/1,4,7 246,464
6TH DOUBLE
12/1 233.5
12/4 70.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,10/7,11,12/Any Combination 18,853