Happy Valley · 2025-05-07 · 12:10
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-07 was Class 4 over 1200m. GOKO WIN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with MY DAY MY WAY second and SMART FIGHTER third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOKO WIN B 1.10.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.0 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | MY DAY MY WAY CP C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 42.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | SMART FIGHTER TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.7 | SH |
| 4 | 7 | ISLAND BUDDY B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 12 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | TEAM HAPPY PC-/B2/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 10 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | VULCANUS B2 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 3 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | GOOD PROSPECT CP/H/XB K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 7 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | GALVANIC B/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 6 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT H/XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 4 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | CIRCUIT DUFFY B1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 56.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | BOOMBAYAH TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 47.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | FLYING AKEED B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 8 | 130.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOOD PROSPECT | 20.2% | 4.96 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | GOKO WIN | 19.3% | 5.18 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | SMART FIGHTER | 13.8% | 7.26 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 10.3% | 9.72 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | VULCANUS | 8.8% | 11.35 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | ISLAND BUDDY | 6.0% | 16.62 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | GALVANIC | 6.0% | 16.79 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | TEAM HAPPY | 4.2% | 24.03 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | MY DAY MY WAY | 3.6% | 28.07 | 2 |
| 10 | 1 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 3.5% | 28.65 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | BOOMBAYAH | 3.5% | 28.96 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | FLYING AKEED | 1.0% | 98.33 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 20
PLACE
2 11
3 19.5
6 88.5
QUINELLA
2,6 438.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 27
2,6 129.5
3,6 304.5
FORECAST
2,6 630
TIERCE
2,6,3 4,249
TRIO
2,3,6 602
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 1,975
QUARTET
2,6,3,7 33,976
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
11/2 225.5
11/6 398