Happy Valley · 2025-05-07 · 20:36
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 6.1 | N |
| 2 | 6 | SATIRICAL FAN Closed strongly TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 1 | 9.1 | N |
| 3 | 4 | MIGHTY COMMANDER Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | FLYING WROTE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | RUN RUN TIMING Led early TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 5 | 8.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | JUBILANT WINNER Closed strongly BR/V/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 12 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | SETANTA Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | STORMI Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | FIGOPUMPKIN Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 94.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE CP/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 6 | 113.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | SMART TRIO V/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 115.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | DEAL COMPLETED B/XB H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 66.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-07 was Class 4 over 1650m. AMAZING AWARD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D Eustace, won by N, with SATIRICAL FAN second and MIGHTY COMMANDER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite SETANTA finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SATIRICAL FAN | 23.3% | 4.28 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | AMAZING AWARD | 19.0% | 5.26 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | JUBILANT WINNER | 14.4% | 6.95 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | FLYING WROTE | 10.7% | 9.37 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 8.9% | 11.30 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | RUN RUN TIMING | 8.4% | 11.87 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | SETANTA | 6.5% | 15.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | STORMI | 4.2% | 23.99 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | FIGOPUMPKIN | 1.5% | 66.63 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | DEAL COMPLETED | 1.5% | 68.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 0.9% | 111.44 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | SMART TRIO | 0.8% | 126.79 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 61
PLACE
4 18.5
6 28
10 17.5
QUINELLA
6,10 295.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 87.5
4,10 57
6,10 90
FORECAST
10,6 609
TIERCE
10,6,4 3,076
TRIO
4,6,10 424
FIRST 4
4,5,6,10 640
QUARTET
10,6,4,5 15,238
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
11/2/6 330
11/2/10 1,254
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/4,6,10 29,389
4TH DOUBLE
2/6 48.5
2/10 189.5