Happy Valley · 2025-05-07 · 10:40
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-07 was Class 5 over 1650m. COOL BLUE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with BEAU GOSSE second and PODIUM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite HARRY'S HERO finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | COOL BLUE Closed strongly E/P/TT 1.41.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | BEAU GOSSE B-/H2/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | PODIUM Closed strongly TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 9 | 9.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | TRADITION Closed strongly B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 6 | 6.5 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 8 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | TATTENHAM A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 2 | 4.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER TREASURE Led early B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | WOODFIRE CHAMP Closed strongly V-/H1/TT2 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 11 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | ON THE LASH PC/XB/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 6.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | THE PRIME V1/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 4 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS CP/XB J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 10 | 34.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 3 | THE KHAN H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HARRY'S HERO | 21.3% | 4.69 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | TATTENHAM | 18.4% | 5.45 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | TRADITION | 13.2% | 7.60 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | ON THE LASH | 11.8% | 8.49 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | COOL BLUE | 9.5% | 10.53 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | PODIUM | 7.0% | 14.30 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | BEAU GOSSE | 5.1% | 19.70 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 4.7% | 21.32 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER TREASURE | 3.6% | 28.04 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | THE PRIME | 3.4% | 29.06 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS | 2.1% | 47.11 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 127
PLACE
2 27
11 34
12 58.5
QUINELLA
11,12 942.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 147
2,12 240
11,12 245.5
FORECAST
11,12 1,629
TIERCE
11,12,2 16,837
TRIO
2,11,12 2,449
FIRST 4
2,5,11,12 2,342
QUARTET
11,12,2,5 75,010