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Happy Valley · 2025-05-07 · 18:36

Race 1

Class 5 1650m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.41.44
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 COOL BLUE Closed strongly E/P/TT 1.41.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So 3 12.0 1/2
2 12 BEAU GOSSE B-/H2/TT K Teetan · C H Yip 7 22.0 1/2
3 2 PODIUM Closed strongly TT M F Poon · D Eustace 9 9.4 1
4 5 TRADITION Closed strongly B H Bentley · Y S Tsui 6 6.5 1
5 8 HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly K De Melo · P F Yiu 8 3.3 1-1/4
6 6 TATTENHAM A Hamelin · T P Yung 2 4.6 3-1/4
7 7 SUPER TREASURE Led early B M L Yeung · K H Ting 5 39.0 3-3/4
8 10 WOODFIRE CHAMP Closed strongly V-/H1/TT2 K C Leung · C W Chang 11 14.0 4-1/2
9 9 ON THE LASH PC/XB/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 1 6.6 4-3/4
10 4 THE PRIME V1/TT Y L Chung · J Richards 4 28.0 5
11 1 BRAVE OF FRIENDS CP/XB J Orman · D J Whyte 10 34.0 8-1/4
— 3 THE KHAN H Bowman · C Fownes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-07 was Class 5 over 1650m. COOL BLUE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with BEAU GOSSE second and PODIUM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite HARRY'S HERO finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COOL BLUE—2. BEAU GOSSE+0.5L3. PODIUM+1L4. TRADITION+1L5. HARRY'S HERO+1.25L6. TATTENHAM+3.25L7. SUPER TREASURE+3.75L8. WOODFIRE CHAMP+4.5L9. ON THE LASH+4.75L10. THE PRIME+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick HARRY'S HERO (21.3%) finished 5th — the winner COOL BLUE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 HARRY'S HERO 21.3% 4.69 5
2 6 TATTENHAM 18.4% 5.45 6
3 5 TRADITION 13.2% 7.60 4
4 9 ON THE LASH 11.8% 8.49 9
5 11 COOL BLUE 9.5% 10.53 1
6 2 PODIUM 7.0% 14.30 3
7 12 BEAU GOSSE 5.1% 19.70 2
8 10 WOODFIRE CHAMP 4.7% 21.32 8
9 7 SUPER TREASURE 3.6% 28.04 7
10 4 THE PRIME 3.4% 29.06 10
11 1 BRAVE OF FRIENDS 2.1% 47.11 11
HARRY'S HEROTATTENHAMTRADITIONON THE LASHCOOL BLUE — wonPODIUMBEAU GOSSEWOODFIRE CHAMPSUPER TREASURETHE PRIMEBRAVE OF FRIENDS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 127

PLACE

2 27

11 34

12 58.5

QUINELLA

11,12 942.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,11 147

2,12 240

11,12 245.5

FORECAST

11,12 1,629

TIERCE

11,12,2 16,837

TRIO

2,11,12 2,449

FIRST 4

2,5,11,12 2,342

QUARTET

11,12,2,5 75,010