Happy Valley · 2025-05-07 · 11:10
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-07 was Class 5 over 1000m. DAY DAY VICTORY, ridden by A Badel and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with MODEST GENTLEMAN second and ACE TALENT third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DAY DAY VICTORY 0.57.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | ACE TALENT PC/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPICY KNUCKLES CP/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 2 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | GUSTY FIGHTER BO-/XB-/TT2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | RAGNARR CP/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 12 | 8.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | NOTTHESILLYONE TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | RUBY SAILING B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE V/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | LIFE OF STONE PC K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 7 | 78.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | SPEEDY FORTUNE CP/TT E C W Wong · D Eustace | E C W Wong | D Eustace | 8 | 9.2 | 79 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 35.9% | 2.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | ACE TALENT | 22.0% | 4.55 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 10.1% | 9.91 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | RAGNARR | 8.5% | 11.77 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | RUBY SAILING | 4.3% | 23.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.1% | 24.56 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | SPICY KNUCKLES | 3.1% | 32.72 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | GUSTY FIGHTER | 2.9% | 34.77 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 2.9% | 34.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE | 2.7% | 37.33 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 2.5% | 39.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | LIFE OF STONE | 1.1% | 87.10 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 34
PLACE
3 14
7 29
12 18
QUINELLA
3,7 207.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 75.5
3,12 32
7,12 75
FORECAST
3,7 280
TIERCE
3,7,12 778
TRIO
3,7,12 161
FIRST 4
2,3,7,12 870
QUARTET
3,7,12,2 13,925
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/3 477
11/7 151