跑馬地 · 2025-05-14 · 13:15
第 6場
2025-05-14跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的BIENVENUE勝出，贏出1-1/4。TOP PEAK獲得亞軍；KNOW AT HEART獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BIENVENUE B 1.09.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | TOP PEAK XB1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | KNOW AT HEART K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | WISEMAN TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 2 | 67.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SHINKANSEN CP/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 11 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 3 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | COUNTRY DANCER E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 9.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | HARMONY N HOME Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 10 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | LEGENDARY IMPACT CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 98.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | RICH HORSE H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BIENVENUE | 22.1% | 4.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | COUNTRY DANCER | 18.9% | 5.30 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | TOP PEAK | 12.3% | 8.10 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 10.0% | 9.95 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE | 8.8% | 11.32 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | HARMONY N HOME | 8.6% | 11.57 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 5.9% | 16.99 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | KNOW AT HEART | 4.9% | 20.31 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | SHINKANSEN | 3.3% | 29.95 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | RICH HORSE | 2.5% | 39.97 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | LEGENDARY IMPACT | 1.3% | 76.14 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | WISEMAN | 1.2% | 81.23 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 31.5
PLACE
3 37
4 32
8 15
QUINELLA
4,8 185
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 212.5
3,8 102.5
4,8 69
FORECAST
8,4 314
TIERCE
8,4,3 2,390
TRIO
3,4,8 703
FIRST 4
1,3,4,8 660
QUARTET
8,4,3,1 13,081
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
7/4 356.5
7/8 1,123.5